Posts Tagged ‘meteorology

26
Sep
08

What should have been Kyle hits Carolinas while the real Kyle heads for Rhode Island

In reading the pros and cons of why the storm lashing the Carolina’s at this time was never named, there is one thing for certain. The days of putting total trust in those at the National Hurricane Center are over. Whatever their agenda is, they are not running their organization in such a way to provide unbiased and helpful information to the American public.

There is a deep and simmering battle taking place between the government wanting to take over the meteorological community, the same way they are taking over Wall Street, vs. the independent agencies and forecasters who make a living providing their data to clients. Since the government only wants to promote the global warming agenda, they are making a concentrated effort to discredit private forecasters who refuse to promote the “official” line out of business.

I have to admit that there appears to be no rational reason for not naming the system which came ashore near Myrtle Beach last night. Its pressure readings were lower than the newly named Kyle out in the Atlantic. It had true tropical storm force winds and was probably stronger than Hanna was. It is a mystery known only to those in Miami as to why this storm was not named Kyle.

Once this unnamed system moves far enough inland to cease influencing Kyle (which should be Laura), there should be rapid development. Kyle is forecasted to miss the United States and hit Nova Scotia. Many private forecasters do not believe this. They still put Kyle on a track which would bring it ashore near Providence, Rhode Island. Once again, as has happened over and over again, where are the advance notices to those who may be in harm’s way as early as Saturday night?

If the “official” track of the storm carries it far out to sea and 500 miles away from the coast, why should anyone be concerned? Just as in the current situation, if there is no named storm, no one pays any attention to the bulletins which warned people in both South and North Carolina to expect hurricane force winds. Since there was no named storm, most people either ignored such warnings or never heard about them.

As a spectator on the sidelines, I do not know what is driving this intense competition between the private sector meteorologists and the government funded National Hurricane Center. All I know is that it is turning into an ugly battle and is turning personal quickly. Since the NHC has the “final word” they win in the end, but what good does it do them if they are proven to be either fools or frauds?

No one is telling us the truth in Washington, so why should be expect anyone in Miami to tell us the truth about hurricanes? Everything is all about politics, agenda and promoting causes which hold no validity when it comes to anything associated with the government. The wise person looking for honest answers better get used to looking in places outside of official government statements.

I am a highly cynical person and I generally do not believe much of anything I hear anyone officially speaking on behalf of the government has to say. I must admit that I allowed myself to become too closely attached to the “official” bulletins issued about Hurricane Ike. As it turned out, I think there was much that was not right concerning that storm, both before it hit and after. But that is a topic for another day.

14
Sep
08

Who Am I and Why Do I Write about Ike and other Hurricanes; My open letter to YOU

Dear Friend,

With grateful heart I rejoice that Hurricane Ike was not worse than it was. A disaster of epic proportions was averted by probably 12 hours and 20 miles. Yes, at the rate Ike was strengthening, if it had another 12 hours over water there is ample evidence to suggest it would have been a category 4 storm instead of a category2/3 one. A wobble to the west would have changed the storm surge to have done far more damage than it did.

I am no scientist. I am no meteorologist. I am no one you ever heard of or ever will. I deliberately work in obscurity and under no circumstances want my true identity used. I believe strongly that what is important is the message and not the messenger. I believe too much emphasis is placed on academia and too little on common sense and logic.

My life is a gift from God for the blessing of His people. Anything and everything I can do or give on behalf of others is my life’s goal and intent. I have no advanced degrees from prestigious institutions of higher learning. I have no doctorate, master or even bachelor’s degrees. I have a worthless Associate degree in theology plus many years of devoted service to God and His people.

I have studied weather since I was a child. I have watched tornadoes form and been in more than one. I have spent hours studying radars and satellite images just to help someone know what to do weather-wise in a situation. I have my trusted sources for technical information, but I basically trust my instinct based on logic, patterns and principle vs. model runs.

I have no business other than to do what my Lord places on my heart to do. I am promoting no one and no cause in particular. I do not sell weather related materials, and in fact, I do not sell anything other than clothing on eBay. I have no agenda, hidden or otherwise. I am a simple man who only desires to find a way to help people gain a better understanding of life, weather, disasters and most of all God.

Many months ago, out of the blue I had a strong premonition that the Houston area was going to deal with a major hurricane this year. There was nothing I could do other than study the area, its history and lay of the land. I wrote a few pieces dealing with how a huge hurricane hitting the Houston ship channel would be a major disaster. Other than that, I have waited patiently for the fulfillment of what I was shown, no doubt by my Lord.

When the flurry of tropical disturbances started a month ago, I decided to start posting on a regular basis regarding them. There is so much ignorance and misunderstanding among people regarding weather and especially hurricanes and tornadoes. When it became apparent that Ike was heading for the Houston area, I saw my mission as one of helping to condense and disseminate the volumes of technical data being stated about the storm, its track and intensity levels.

When it became apparent that Ike was going to be a massive monster storm, I assumed the reason God had pre-warned me was so that I could try and help someone. In my many posts on Ike, I simply was trying to convey the magnitude of the situation in enough time to allow those who could and wanted to leave to do so. Drawing upon my experiences working with Katrina victims, I simply tried to tell you folks what I knew and in such a way as to hopefully help.

Yesterday and last night were very hard for me. My heart so wanted to reach out and comfort those who were huddled in fear and hold those who were breaking under the stress of a very mean storm. I, along with everyone else who studies hurricanes, was sure there would be thousands of casualties from Ike and Galveston pretty much destroyed. The data showed what should happen. As it turns out, it simply showed what COULD happen. Thank God it didn’t happen as bad as was feared.

Now that the storm is over I return to my normal frustrating life of trying to locate help for small independent charities who have no access to the huge warehouses where supplies are stored and no access to AID MATRIX the clearing house for disaster services and groups part of VOAD. My mission is not to find help for a place like Houston, for there are plenty of well supplied groups taking care of both Houston and Galveston.

No, my mission is to find help for places such as Cameron, New Iberia and Plaquemines Parish, Louisiana. These are locations which will (and already have after Gustov) fall through the cracks and receive basically no help from anyone. I am sure there are similar places along the upper coast of Texas also. I fight for the underdog in all things. That is my life and ministry.

In the days ahead, as my coverage of hurricane Ike winds down; I will be zeroing in on the needs in those places the media never go. I will share what is REALLY going on in the little communities who are always forsaken in huge disasters. I will offer avenues of giving, sharing and prayer to anyone with a heart to want to help the “underdogs” and the forsaken.

Thank you for allowing me to share a bit of my heart, whether it is one or a hundred of you who read this. All I can do is give the best I can and pray God opens doors to handle the rest. God’s richest blessings to you.




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